July 2, 2010

Contributed some thoughts to PRinks

I contributed a few rushed thoughts around media strategy for an article Mandi Bateson wrote over at the PRinks blog.

June 30, 2010

Perceived value

YAY!!!!

A while ago I noticed that a particular piece of thinking that has been carried over from the tangible world of sales and product/service driven business into the less tangible, more abstract world of social and non-sales orientated online business.

In the world of tangibles if a particular action has a perceived value, then there is a push from the business to lower the barrier to action, this can vary from access to a brochure or information pack all the way through to a sale of an item. The reason this works is because a sale has a physical price there is a physical value, so by looking at conversion ratios we are able to attribute a value to the brochure.

The problem with lowering these barriers starts to come when the entire value proposition of the action is the effort that went into it.

Case in point; Facebook removed ‘Fan’ and replaced it with ‘Like’ as they noticed people “liked” things with a lot less thought, therefor brands would be able to grow their pages with more ease. The issue here is that by lowering this barrier they have diluted the value proposition. If we make some very generous assumptions and say that a customer that is also a Facebook ‘Fan’ spent on average $5 more per year than a customer who is not a Facebook ‘Fan’ then this number will inevitably go down when the brand starts to attract less interested ‘likes.’

In many ways we can draw a comparison to what has happened to online advertising, publishers inflated their impressions in an attempt to squeeze more money from advertisers, however by inflating volume the response rates dropped. Advertisers realised that this meant they needed to serve more of these impressions to get the same value, thus the per-impression value of the site was diminished and the incremental gain to the publisher was lost. Thus the downward spiral begins.

Of course, all of this is based on the assumption that there is any real incremental value to a Facebook fan to begin with. So far all attempts I have seen to report on dollar values for this kind of activity have been using methodology that ranges from questionable to retarded.

Moving beyond this some would argue that the value is the ability to deliver messages to this audience and engage with them on an ongoing basis, which is terrific, as long as they are spending more money than people who aren’t involved in that engagement, because every line you read, every word you type has a head hour against it and those cost the business money.

So if you’re attracting more ‘Likes’ than you were ‘Fans’ you might want to hold off on that self congratulatory back pat and avoid sending out that smug tweet to all your social media strategy expert guru pals, because it’s highly likely that you’re increasing quantity at the sacrifice of quality.

June 29, 2010

ROI?

A long, long time ago in a galaxy far, far away a group of free thinkers far more advanced than we came up with a most earth shattering concept known as return on investment. The basic idea of this concept was that when you invest in something you want to achieve a positive return on that investment, it is most commonly expressed as the below formulas:
Standard ROI calculations

And less frequently like this:
ZOMG SOCIAL MEDIA

Now some would argue that not all of the above are correct, however I’ll leave that for you to ponder a while.

June 25, 2010

A bastards guide to: skepticism

Hi, my name is Joel and I’m a bastard.

I’m that guy that sits in your presentation and then at the end asks you for the sources of the various stats as well as what the exact question asked was and the who/when/where’s of the sample group. I know this annoys you, I can see it in your eyes. That mixture of anger, irritation and ever-so-slight fear that you will be caught flogging off your biased and untrustworthy data.

The thing that bothers me is that a lot of people in digital media (in particular social) seem to immediately forget the most basic elements of statistical analysis, the kind of basic stuff that should be common sense for anyone who sits and actually thinks about what they’re looking at, things like the difference between correlation and causality. Recently I have been having a bit of a rant about the sheer volume of misleading ‘research’ that has been published about Facebook in an attempt to give clear monetary value to “fans,” an effort that will never make sense anyway because each ‘fan’ is unique, it is not the same as a conversion/sale. I was going to write about why their study was deeply flawed in every way, but The Adcontrarian did it for me.

It wouldn’t be such an issue if they admitted fault when people call bullshit on their stupid buzz-videos (side note: reading the comments below this video will actually cause hemorrhaging of the brain, the stupidity is that dense) but instead they try to argue that the figures have value by referring to “research” that backs up the numbers, however this “research” is usually highly biased and funded by interested parties, not only this but the figures they quote are taken dramatically out of context.

If digital media as an industry really wants to start seeing significant investment from brands we need to step up to the table and be honest with advertisers, we need to tell them realistic information, not a bunch of pseudo-scientific stats that immediately set off the bullshit detector of everyone in the room. This current approach is akin to a kid telling you he caught a fish thiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiis big, no one believes them, but its cute that they try to trick you.

May 26, 2010

A new series of guest posts: My Start in the Media Industry by Daniel Cravero

Daniel Cravero is a friend of mine who very recently started his first role in the industry as a Media Assistant at the GroupM owned MindShare. I approached Daniel and asked if he would be interested in sharing his experience of being a new person in the industry in order to capture the full process as he grows from these beginnings as a bright-eyed, hopeful, junior.

Daniel kicking arse and taking names

Outside of media Daniel plays drums in some bands and generally kicks arse.

I’ll do some disclosure and say that while Daniel and I work for competing agencies the opinions expressed by both he and I represent only our own. They should in no way be related to our agencies, clients, or anybody with common sense.

————————————————–

My first foray into media has been something like what a kid in a candy store feels like. To those seasoned individuals reading this thinking “wait till the hard cold truth hits him” I’m already one step ahead of you – I only need to look at some of the other assistants I work with to get an idea of things to come!

So what about first impressions? I really like what I’ve seen so far. This is now my 3rd week and I am learning a great deal about what it means to be working in a media agency. To be perfectly honest, it’s very exciting stuff! I took a good look at one of the media plans and thought to myself “wow, this really makes sense, I can totally see the vision behind this plan, when do I start planning?”

It turns out I may be lacking some essential skills I need to develop before I get to this stage.

Speaking of training, in house training to develop my skills has so far been out of this world. I have been so impressed with the level of coaching and training available at my agency. I couldn’t help but notice, however, certain publisher based training “seminars” include very little training content and end up turning into a selling exercise. I have worked in sales before – I can smell a sales pitch from a mile away! (But who can really complain when there are French pastries on offer).

Am I keen to stay? Absolutely. Do I enjoy the fact there are long lunches, numerous freebies, after work drinks sponsored by media owners and plenty of after hours events throughout the year? Without a doubt. Will it all come crashing down in a fiery ball of flames once reality sinks in? Stay tuned…

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.